Virsliga
Match Analysis
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
W
W
L
L
L
L
Riga
D
W
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Riga | FK Liepaja | 4 - 0 | June 21, 2026 |
| Riga | FK Liepaja | 1 - 0 | May 3, 2026 |
| FK Liepaja | Riga | 2 - 1 | March 7, 2026 |
| Riga | FK Liepaja | 3 - 0 | October 3, 2025 |
| FK Liepaja | Riga | 2 - 3 | July 19, 2025 |
| Riga | FK Liepaja | 2 - 0 | May 19, 2025 |
FK Liepaja Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Super Nova | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Tukums | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Austria Vienna | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | FS Jelgava | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Austria Vienna | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 15, 26 | Home | Dečić | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Riga Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Gyori ETO FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Ogre United | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Gyori ETO FC | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Grobiņa | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Vardar Skopje | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Vardar Skopje | 2 - 3 | Win |
Virsliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Riga | 25 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 76 | 21 | +55 | 64 |
| 5 | FK Liepaja | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 34 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.52% likelihood that both FK Liepaja and Riga will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Riga to win
This prediction indicates that Riga has a 70.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.79 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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