FK Liepaja vs Tukums Sunday 02nd August 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FK Liepaja Tukums

FK Liepaja L L L W L L

Tukums L L L L L W

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FK Liepaja	Tukums	3 - 0	May 30, 2026
Tukums	FK Liepaja	2 - 2	April 17, 2026
FK Liepaja	Tukums	4 - 1	September 14, 2025
Tukums	FK Liepaja	1 - 3	June 25, 2025
Tukums	FK Liepaja	2 - 2	May 6, 2025
FK Liepaja	Tukums	0 - 0	March 12, 2025

FK Liepaja Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Home	Dečić	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 9, 26	Away	Dečić	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	BFC Daugavpils	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 30, 26	Home	Ogre United	4 - 0	Win
Jun 26, 26	Home	Rīgas FS	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	Riga	4 - 0	Loss

Tukums Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Riga	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Away	Grobiņa	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 1, 26	Home	Super Nova	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Away	Ogre United	3 - 2	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	FS Jelgava	4 - 1	Loss
Jun 17, 26	Home	Auda	2 - 1	Win

Virsliga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	FK Liepaja	22	8	4	10	28	34	-6	28
9	Tukums	22	3	8	11	37	44	-7	17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.22% likelihood that both FK Liepaja and Tukums will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FK Liepaja to win

This prediction indicates that FK Liepaja has a 54.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.70 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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