FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl Saturday 15th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FK Neftekhimik Shinnik Yaroslavl

FK Neftekhimik L W L D W D

Shinnik Yaroslavl D W D D D D

STRENGTH

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FK Neftekhimik	Shinnik Yaroslavl	0 - 0	March 28, 2026
Shinnik Yaroslavl	FK Neftekhimik	1 - 1	October 15, 2025
Shinnik Yaroslavl	FK Neftekhimik	0 - 2	August 10, 2025
Shinnik Yaroslavl	FK Neftekhimik	1 - 1	March 29, 2025
FK Neftekhimik	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1 - 0	October 12, 2024
FK Neftekhimik	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1 - 2	April 24, 2024

FK Neftekhimik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Volga Ulyanovsk	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Away	Arsenal Tula	0 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Veles	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	KAMAZ	3 - 3	Draw
Jul 1, 26	Away	KAMAZ	2 - 3	Win
Jun 28, 26	Away	Krylia Sovetov	1 - 1	Draw

Shinnik Yaroslavl Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	Torpedo Moskva	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 19, 26	Home	Leningradets	2 - 0	Win
Jul 12, 26	Home	PFC Sochi	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 30, 26	Away	CSKA Moscow	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Chelyabinsk	2 - 2	Draw
May 11, 26	Home	Torpedo Moskva	1 - 1	Draw

First League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Shinnik Yaroslavl	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
13	FK Neftekhimik	3	1	0	2	1	3	-2	3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.03% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Shinnik Yaroslavl to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Shinnik Yaroslavl has a 35.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.06 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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