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Premier League

June 13, 2026 2 weeks, 2 days ago
2 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

FK Tobol Kostanay Kyzyl-Zhar
FK Tobol Kostanay D L L W L W
Kyzyl-Zhar W D L L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Kyzyl-Zhar FK Tobol Kostanay 0 - 2 August 2, 2025
FK Tobol Kostanay Kyzyl-Zhar 2 - 1 May 4, 2025
FK Tobol Kostanay Kyzyl-Zhar 1 - 2 August 11, 2024
Kyzyl-Zhar FK Tobol Kostanay 0 - 0 March 31, 2024
Kyzyl-Zhar FK Tobol Kostanay 1 - 1 September 27, 2023
FK Tobol Kostanay Kyzyl-Zhar 1 - 0 June 3, 2023

FK Tobol Kostanay Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 28, 26 Away Atyrau 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Ordabasy 0 - 3 Loss
May 17, 26 Away Kaisar 2 - 1 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Irtysh 1 - 0 Win
May 3, 26 Away Zhenys 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Home Kaspiy 2 - 1 Win

Kyzyl-Zhar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 28, 26 Home Zhetysu 3 - 2 Win
May 23, 26 Away Aktobe 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Altay 1 - 2 Loss
May 9, 26 Away FC Astana 2 - 1 Loss
May 2, 26 Home Okzhetpes 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home Ordabasy 1 - 2 Loss

Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Kyzyl-Zhar 12 4 3 5 15 13 +2 15
16 FK Tobol Kostanay 12 2 3 7 10 20 -10 9

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.52% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

FK Tobol Kostanay to win
This prediction indicates that FK Tobol Kostanay has a 43.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.85 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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