FK Tobol Kostanay vs Yelimay Semey Thursday 17th September 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Premier League

Sept. 17, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

FK Tobol Kostanay Yelimay Semey

FK Tobol Kostanay L W W L L L

Yelimay Semey L D W D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Yelimay Semey	FK Tobol Kostanay	1 - 0	April 4, 2026
Yelimay Semey	FK Tobol Kostanay	2 - 3	July 5, 2025
FK Tobol Kostanay	Yelimay Semey	1 - 1	March 30, 2025
Yelimay Semey	FK Tobol Kostanay	2 - 1	September 15, 2024
FK Tobol Kostanay	Yelimay Semey	4 - 2	March 6, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 26	Away	Kaspiy	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 25, 26	Home	Kaisar	3 - 2	Win
Aug 16, 26	Away	Irtysh	0 - 2	Win
Aug 13, 26	Home	FK Partizan	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 6, 26	Away	FK Partizan	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 2, 26	Away	Ordabasy	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 31, 26	Home	Kairat Almaty	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 16, 26	Away	Kaspiy	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 9, 26	Home	Irtysh	3 - 1	Win
Aug 2, 26	Away	Zhenys	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Home	Kaisar	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 19, 26	Away	Ordabasy	3 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Yelimay Semey	21	9	8	4	32	25	+7	35
10	FK Tobol Kostanay	23	8	4	11	26	31	-5	28

This prediction indicates that FK Tobol Kostanay has a 37.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.00 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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