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UEFA Europa Conference League

July 30, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Dinamo Tbilisi
FK Zalgiris Vilnius W W W D L W
Dinamo Tbilisi L W W W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Dinamo Tbilisi 0 - 0 February 1, 2023

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 16, 26 Home Petrovac 2 - 1 Win
Jul 9, 26 Away Petrovac 1 - 3 Win
Jul 5, 26 Away Šiauliai 0 - 3 Win
Jun 28, 26 Away Džiugas Telšiai 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Away Banga 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 16, 26 Home Panevėžys 3 - 0 Win

Dinamo Tbilisi Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 16, 26 Home US Mondorf-les-bains 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 9, 26 Away US Mondorf-les-bains 1 - 2 Win
Jun 23, 26 Home Dinamo Batumi 2 - 1 Win
Jun 18, 26 Home Samgurali 5 - 3 Win
Jun 14, 26 Away Gagra 2 - 1 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Meshakhte 1 - 6 Win

Predictions

FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win
This prediction indicates that FK Zalgiris Vilnius has a 48.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.78 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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