FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris Sunday 02nd August 2026 06:45 PM football predictions.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Kauno Žalgiris

FK Zalgiris Vilnius W W W D L W

Kauno Žalgiris W W W D D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kauno Žalgiris	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	0 - 1	May 31, 2026
FK Zalgiris Vilnius	Kauno Žalgiris	0 - 3	April 5, 2026
Kauno Žalgiris	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	1 - 2	October 22, 2025
FK Zalgiris Vilnius	Kauno Žalgiris	1 - 2	August 4, 2025
Kauno Žalgiris	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	3 - 0	May 17, 2025
FK Zalgiris Vilnius	Kauno Žalgiris	0 - 0	April 6, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 26	Home	Petrovac	2 - 1	Win
Jul 9, 26	Away	Petrovac	1 - 3	Win
Jul 5, 26	Away	Šiauliai	0 - 3	Win
Jun 28, 26	Away	Džiugas Telšiai	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	Banga	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Home	Panevėžys	3 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Šiauliai	4 - 0	Win
Jul 14, 26	Away	Drita	2 - 3	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Panevėžys	3 - 0	Win
Jul 7, 26	Home	Drita	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Away	Džiugas Telšiai	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	TransINVEST Vilnius	1 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Kauno Žalgiris	21	10	7	4	40	16	+24	37
6	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	21	9	5	7	30	23	+7	32

This prediction indicates that Kauno Žalgiris has a 40.1% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.36 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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