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A Lyga

Sept. 16, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Kauno Žalgiris
FK Zalgiris Vilnius L W L L L W
Kauno Žalgiris D W L D L W
STRENGTH
POSSESSION
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Kauno Žalgiris FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0 - 1 May 31, 2026
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Kauno Žalgiris 0 - 3 April 5, 2026
Kauno Žalgiris FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1 - 2 October 22, 2025
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Kauno Žalgiris 1 - 2 August 4, 2025
Kauno Žalgiris FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3 - 0 May 17, 2025
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Kauno Žalgiris 0 - 0 April 6, 2025

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Panevėžys 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 23, 26 Home Džiugas Telšiai 2 - 0 Win
Aug 16, 26 Home Banga 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 13, 26 Away HNK Hajduk Split 4 - 0 Loss
Aug 6, 26 Home HNK Hajduk Split 2 - 5 Loss
Jul 30, 26 Home Dinamo Tbilisi 7 - 2 Win

Kauno Žalgiris Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Banga 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 27, 26 Home Besiktas 1 - 0 Win
Aug 20, 26 Away Besiktas 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Home TransINVEST Vilnius 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 11, 26 Home Dinamo Zagreb 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Hegelmann Litauen 2 - 0 Win

A Lyga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Kauno Žalgiris 25 12 9 4 47 17 +30 45
6 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 26 12 5 9 40 31 +9 41

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Kauno Žalgiris to win
This prediction indicates that Kauno Žalgiris has a 43.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.54 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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