FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole Thursday 30th July 2026 07:30 PM football predictions.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Suduva Marijampole

FK Zalgiris Vilnius W W W D L W

Suduva Marijampole D W W W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Suduva Marijampole	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	1 - 1	May 10, 2026
FK Zalgiris Vilnius	Suduva Marijampole	1 - 0	March 10, 2026
Suduva Marijampole	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	1 - 3	September 29, 2025
FK Zalgiris Vilnius	Suduva Marijampole	1 - 0	August 7, 2025
Suduva Marijampole	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	2 - 2	June 19, 2025
FK Zalgiris Vilnius	Suduva Marijampole	3 - 0	April 16, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 26	Home	Petrovac	2 - 1	Win
Jul 9, 26	Away	Petrovac	1 - 3	Win
Jul 5, 26	Away	Šiauliai	0 - 3	Win
Jun 28, 26	Away	Džiugas Telšiai	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	Banga	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Home	Panevėžys	3 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 6, 26	Home	TransINVEST Vilnius	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 29, 26	Away	Panevėžys	1 - 2	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	Džiugas Telšiai	1 - 2	Win
Jun 16, 26	Home	Šiauliai	2 - 1	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	Banga	0 - 0	Draw
May 29, 26	Away	FK Trakai	0 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Suduva Marijampole	21	9	9	3	29	16	+13	36
6	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	21	9	5	7	30	23	+7	32

This prediction indicates that FK Zalgiris Vilnius has a 40.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.34 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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