Flamengo U20 vs Fluminense U20 Saturday 26th September 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Carioca U20

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Flamengo U20 Fluminense U20

Flamengo U20 W W W W W L

Fluminense U20 W W D W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Fluminense U20	Flamengo U20	0 - 4	August 30, 2025
Flamengo U20	Fluminense U20	1 - 1	August 3, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 4, 26	Away	Bangu U20	0 - 3	Win
Aug 29, 26	Home	Madureira U20	4 - 1	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Boavista U20	0 - 1	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Nova Iguaçu U20	3 - 1	Win
Aug 8, 26	Away	Portuguesa RJ U20	1 - 3	Win
Nov 9, 25	Home	Botafogo U20	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Away	Volta Redonda U20	0 - 1	Win
Aug 29, 26	Home	Bangu U20	2 - 1	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Madureira U20	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Boavista U20	3 - 0	Win
Aug 8, 26	Away	Nova Iguaçu U20	1 - 3	Win
Nov 9, 25	Away	Vasco da Gama U20	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo U20	5	5	0	0	14	3	+11	15
2	Fluminense U20	5	4	1	0	11	4	+7	13

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.67% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Flamengo U20 has a 56.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.44 %

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