Meistriliiga
Match Analysis
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
W
L
L
W
W
L
Vaprus
W
D
L
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vaprus | Flora Tallinn | 1 - 2 | August 23, 2026 |
| Vaprus | Flora Tallinn | 1 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
| Flora Tallinn | Vaprus | 2 - 0 | April 12, 2026 |
| Vaprus | Flora Tallinn | 2 - 2 | January 17, 2026 |
| Vaprus | Flora Tallinn | 0 - 3 | November 8, 2025 |
| Flora Tallinn | Vaprus | 3 - 0 | September 13, 2025 |
Flora Tallinn Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Kalju Nomme | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 2, 26 | Away | Tammeka | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Paide | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Tammeka | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Vaprus | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Kuressaare | 2 - 3 | Loss |
Vaprus Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Nõmme United | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Kuressaare | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Flora Tallinn | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Kalju Nomme | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | FC Levadia Tallinn | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Trans Narva | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Meistriliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Flora Tallinn | 25 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 50 | 31 | +19 | 45 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 34 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.21% likelihood that both Flora Tallinn and Vaprus will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Flora Tallinn to win
This prediction indicates that Flora Tallinn has a 66.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.88 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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