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Meistriliiga

Sept. 6, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Paide FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide D L L W D W
FC Levadia Tallinn W W W D L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Paide FC Levadia Tallinn 1 - 3 May 17, 2026
FC Levadia Tallinn Paide 2 - 2 March 22, 2026
FC Levadia Tallinn Paide 1 - 2 October 22, 2025
Paide FC Levadia Tallinn 0 - 3 July 4, 2025
FC Levadia Tallinn Paide 2 - 1 May 11, 2025
Paide FC Levadia Tallinn 2 - 1 April 23, 2025

Paide Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 16, 26 Away Trans Narva 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 12, 26 Away Rapid Vienna 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 6, 26 Home Rapid Vienna 1 - 4 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Home Kuressaare 1 - 0 Win
Jul 30, 26 Away Zira 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 23, 26 Home Zira 1 - 0 Win

FC Levadia Tallinn Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 21, 26 Home Trans Narva 4 - 0 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away Laagri 1 - 2 Win
Aug 9, 26 Home Nõmme United 5 - 0 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away Vaprus 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 30, 26 Home IFK Goteborg 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Away IFK Goteborg 1 - 2 Win

Meistriliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 FC Levadia Tallinn 23 14 5 4 54 25 +29 47
4 Paide 22 10 6 6 34 29 +5 36

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.98% likelihood that both Paide and FC Levadia Tallinn will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
FC Levadia Tallinn to win
This prediction indicates that FC Levadia Tallinn has a 43.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.66 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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