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Serie C

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Floresta Ituano
Floresta L D D D W L
Ituano W L L L D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ituano Floresta 0 - 0 May 25, 2025

Floresta Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Ypiranga-RS 4 - 1 Loss
Jul 27, 26 Home Maringá 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Away Caxias 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Away Guarani Campinas 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 27, 26 Home Barra 2 - 1 Win
Jun 21, 26 Away Brusque 2 - 1 Loss

Ituano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Barra 2 - 0 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Brusque 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Home Ferroviária 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Away Santa Cruz 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 28, 26 Home Maranhão 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Home Figueirense 0 - 0 Draw

Serie C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Ituano 16 6 4 6 18 17 +1 22
13 Floresta 16 5 6 5 17 19 -2 21

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.74% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Floresta to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Floresta has a 39.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.77 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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