Fluminense vs Palmeiras Saturday 15th August 2026 10:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Fluminense Palmeiras

Fluminense D D D W W D

Palmeiras W L W W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Palmeiras	Fluminense	2 - 1	February 26, 2026
Palmeiras	Fluminense	0 - 0	November 23, 2025
Fluminense	Palmeiras	1 - 2	July 23, 2025
Palmeiras	Fluminense	0 - 1	December 8, 2024
Fluminense	Palmeiras	1 - 0	July 25, 2024
Palmeiras	Fluminense	1 - 0	December 3, 2023

Fluminense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Home	Bahia	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Away	Gremio	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 17, 26	Home	RB Bragantino	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 12, 26	Home	Bahia	2 - 0	Win
Jul 8, 26	Home	Nova Iguaçu	6 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Draw

Palmeiras Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Away	Vitoria	0 - 4	Win
Jul 26, 26	Home	Atletico-MG	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Away	Coritiba	1 - 3	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Chapecoense-sc	1 - 0	Win
May 28, 26	Home	Junior	4 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Flamengo	0 - 3	Win

Serie A Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	21	14	5	2	38	16	+22	47
4	Fluminense	21	9	7	5	30	25	+5	34

Predictions

Palmeiras to win

This prediction indicates that Palmeiras has a 40.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.86 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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