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Serie C - Girone C

Sept. 15, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Foggia Savoia
Foggia D W L L D L
Savoia L L
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Foggia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Salernitana 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 24, 26 Away Crotone 0 - 1 Win
Apr 26, 26 Home Salernitana 1 - 3 Loss
Apr 19, 26 Away SS Monopoli 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 12, 26 Home Siracusa 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 4, 26 Away Nuova Cosenza 1 - 0 Loss

Savoia Form (Last 2 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Casertana 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 23, 26 Away AZ Picerno 3 - 2 Loss

Serie C - Girone C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Foggia 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
15 Savoia 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.69% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Foggia to win
This prediction indicates that Foggia has a 44.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.44 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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