Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts Saturday 01st August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Forfar Athletic Kelty Hearts

Forfar Athletic L L L D L D

Kelty Hearts L D L L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Forfar Athletic	Kelty Hearts	1 - 2	August 23, 2022
Kelty Hearts	Forfar Athletic	1 - 1	April 23, 2022
Forfar Athletic	Kelty Hearts	1 - 0	February 19, 2022
Kelty Hearts	Forfar Athletic	1 - 0	November 13, 2021
Forfar Athletic	Kelty Hearts	2 - 2	August 14, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Home	Partick	0 - 4	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Stenhousemuir	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 7, 26	Home	Peterhead	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Banks O' Dee	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 30, 26	Home	ST Johnstone	0 - 4	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	Montrose	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Home	Queen's Park	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Queen of the South	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Dunfermline	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	East Kilbride	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Gala Fairydean Rovers	2 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Peterhead	0 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Kelty Hearts	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Forfar Athletic	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.9% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Forfar Athletic has a 38.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.44 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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