Canadian Premier League
Match Analysis
Forge
Cavalry FC
Forge
L
W
W
W
D
W
Cavalry FC
W
W
W
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forge | Cavalry FC | 0 - 0 | April 18, 2026 |
| Forge | Cavalry FC | 0 - 1 | November 2, 2025 |
| Cavalry FC | Forge | 1 - 1 | October 11, 2025 |
| Cavalry FC | Forge | 4 - 1 | August 30, 2025 |
| Forge | Cavalry FC | 1 - 1 | May 31, 2025 |
| Forge | Cavalry FC | 1 - 0 | April 5, 2025 |
Forge Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 26 | Away | Atlético Ottawa | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Supra du Quebec | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 2, 26 | Away | HFX Wanderers FC | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Pacific FC | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 18, 26 | Home | Cavalry FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 12, 26 | Away | Vancouver FC | 0 - 1 | Win |
Cavalry FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 26 | Home | Pacific FC | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 18, 26 | Away | Vancouver FC | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Supra du Quebec | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | York United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | Forge | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 12, 26 | Home | Atlético Ottawa | 3 - 1 | Win |
Canadian Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavalry FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 17 |
| 2 | Forge | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 16 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.83% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Forge to win
This prediction indicates that Forge has a 43.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.58 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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