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Canadian Premier League

June 11, 2026 2 weeks, 4 days ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Forge HFX Wanderers FC
Forge W W L W W W
HFX Wanderers FC L W D L L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
HFX Wanderers FC Forge 1 - 3 May 2, 2026
Forge HFX Wanderers FC 1 - 0 September 6, 2025
HFX Wanderers FC Forge 1 - 2 July 25, 2025
Forge HFX Wanderers FC 2 - 1 June 8, 2025
HFX Wanderers FC Forge 0 - 0 May 3, 2025
HFX Wanderers FC Forge 3 - 0 September 14, 2024

Forge Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Away York United 1 - 4 Win
May 31, 26 Home Cavalry FC 1 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Away Atlético Ottawa 2 - 1 Loss
May 13, 26 Home Supra du Quebec 1 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Away HFX Wanderers FC 1 - 3 Win
Apr 26, 26 Away Pacific FC 0 - 1 Win

HFX Wanderers FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Away Cavalry FC 2 - 0 Loss
May 30, 26 Home Vancouver FC 1 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Home York United 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Atlético Ottawa 1 - 0 Loss
May 2, 26 Home Forge 1 - 3 Loss
Apr 24, 26 Away Supra du Quebec 2 - 1 Loss

Canadian Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Forge 9 7 1 1 14 4 +10 22
6 HFX Wanderers FC 9 2 3 4 9 13 -4 9

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Forge to win
This prediction indicates that Forge has a 54.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.54 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips
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