Canadian Premier League
Match Analysis
Forge
Vancouver FC
Forge
W
W
W
W
W
L
Vancouver FC
W
W
L
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forge | Vancouver FC | 3 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| Vancouver FC | Forge | 0 - 1 | April 12, 2026 |
| Forge | Vancouver FC | 1 - 1 | October 4, 2025 |
| Vancouver FC | Forge | 0 - 1 | August 23, 2025 |
| Forge | Vancouver FC | 2 - 1 | July 5, 2025 |
| Vancouver FC | Forge | 0 - 2 | June 15, 2025 |
Forge Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Supra du Quebec | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 1, 26 | Home | Vancouver FC | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 10, 26 | Home | HFX Wanderers FC | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | York United | 1 - 4 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Cavalry FC | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Atlético Ottawa | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Vancouver FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Supra du Quebec | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | York United | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 1, 26 | Away | Forge | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Pacific FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Atlético Ottawa | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Away | HFX Wanderers FC | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Canadian Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 31 |
| 4 | Vancouver FC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 17 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.28% likelihood that both Forge and Vancouver FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Forge to win
This prediction indicates that Forge has a 67.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.43 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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