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Challenge Cup

Aug. 11, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Formartine United Dundee II
Formartine United L W W L L W
Dundee II L L L L L L
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Dundee II Formartine United 2 - 0 July 30, 2024

Formartine United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 24, 25 Home Buckie Thistle 0 - 2 Loss
Sep 27, 25 Away Lossiemouth 1 - 2 Win
Jul 19, 25 Home Aberdeen U21 3 - 1 Win
Jul 5, 25 Home Elgin City 1 - 3 Loss
Oct 26, 24 Away Brora Rangers 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 28, 24 Home Whitehill Welfare 2 - 0 Win

Dundee II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 2, 26 Home Peterhead 1 - 3 Loss
Nov 11, 25 Away Elgin City 3 - 1 Loss
Oct 11, 25 Away Stirling Albion 2 - 0 Loss
Sep 23, 25 Away Inverness CT 6 - 0 Loss
Sep 6, 25 Away Forfar Athletic 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 26, 25 Away Cove Rangers 1 - 0 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.01% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Formartine United to win
This prediction indicates that Formartine United has a 54.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.96 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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