Serie B
Match Analysis
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
D
W
W
D
W
D
Nautico Recife
D
L
W
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nautico Recife | Fortaleza EC | 0 - 1 | June 9, 2026 |
| Fortaleza EC | Nautico Recife | 2 - 1 | February 26, 2023 |
| Fortaleza EC | Nautico Recife | 2 - 0 | March 26, 2022 |
| Nautico Recife | Fortaleza EC | 2 - 2 | February 12, 2022 |
| Nautico Recife | Fortaleza EC | 0 - 3 | March 14, 2020 |
Fortaleza EC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Ceara | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 9, 26 | Home | Avai | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Goias | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Operario-PR | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Criciuma | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | São Bernardo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Nautico Recife Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Home | Operario-PR | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Sep 9, 26 | Away | America Mineiro | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 3, 26 | Home | Botafogo SP | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Athletic Club | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | São Bernardo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Ceara | 1 - 0 | Win |
Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 23 | +8 | 48 |
| 14 | Nautico Recife | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 33 | +2 | 38 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.27% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Fortaleza EC to win
This prediction indicates that Fortaleza EC has a 50.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.19 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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