Serie B logo

Serie B
Vila Nova logo Vila Nova
Sept. 19, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS
America Mineiro logo America Mineiro

Match Analysis

Vila Nova America Mineiro
Vila Nova W D W W L L
America Mineiro W L L L L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
America Mineiro Vila Nova 1 - 2 May 24, 2026
America Mineiro Vila Nova 1 - 1 October 9, 2025
Vila Nova America Mineiro 0 - 3 June 13, 2025
Vila Nova America Mineiro 1 - 0 August 25, 2024
America Mineiro Vila Nova 3 - 1 May 9, 2024
America Mineiro Vila Nova 2 - 0 October 15, 2019

Vila Nova Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Ceara 2 - 0 Win
Aug 23, 26 Away Operario-PR 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 19, 26 Home Ponte Preta 6 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Atletico Goianiense 0 - 2 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Sport Recife 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 27, 26 Away CRB 2 - 0 Loss

America Mineiro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Ponte Preta 2 - 0 Win
Aug 24, 26 Away Sport Recife 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 20, 26 Away Novorizontino 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Home Athletic Club 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Botafogo SP 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home Goias 1 - 0 Win

Serie B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Vila Nova 25 13 5 7 37 25 +12 44
19 America Mineiro 25 3 5 17 18 42 -24 14

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.94% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Vila Nova to win
This prediction indicates that Vila Nova has a 56.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.16 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Serie B

Criciuma vs Cuiaba 3 hours ago · 1:30 a.m. › Novorizontino vs Avai 16 hours from now · 10 p.m. › Goias vs Fortaleza EC 16 hours from now · 10 p.m. › CRB vs America Mineiro an hour ago · 3:30 a.m. ›