Fortaleza EC vs Novorizontino Saturday 18th July 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Fortaleza EC Novorizontino

Fortaleza EC W W D L W L

Novorizontino W W D W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Fortaleza EC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Home	Ponte Preta	2 - 0	Win
Jun 28, 26	Home	Sport Recife	2 - 1	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	CRB	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 16, 26	Home	America Mineiro	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 9, 26	Away	Nautico Recife	0 - 1	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Vitoria	2 - 1	Loss

Novorizontino Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Home	Vila Nova	2 - 1	Win
Jun 22, 26	Away	Ponte Preta	0 - 2	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Nautico Recife	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 10, 26	Away	Goias	0 - 4	Win
May 31, 26	Away	São Bernardo	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Ceara	2 - 1	Win

Serie B Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Novorizontino	15	7	6	2	24	14	+10	27
8	Fortaleza EC	15	7	4	4	18	16	+2	25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.67% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Novorizontino to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Novorizontino has a 39.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.31 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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