Primera A
Match Analysis
Fortaleza FC
Atletico Nacional
Fortaleza FC
L
D
D
D
D
L
Atletico Nacional
W
W
W
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional | Fortaleza FC | 4 - 1 | February 13, 2026 |
| Atletico Nacional | Fortaleza FC | 2 - 2 | August 17, 2025 |
| Fortaleza FC | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 5 | March 5, 2025 |
| Fortaleza FC | Atletico Nacional | 0 - 1 | October 27, 2024 |
| Atletico Nacional | Fortaleza FC | 1 - 2 | April 5, 2024 |
| Fortaleza FC | Atletico Nacional | 0 - 1 | July 24, 2016 |
Fortaleza FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Llaneros | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Deportivo Pereira | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Alianza Petrolera | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 29, 26 | Away | Cucuta | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 20, 26 | Home | Orsomarso | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 11, 26 | Away | Independiente Medellin | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Atletico Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Jaguares | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Tigres FC | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Tigres FC | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Deportivo Tachira FC | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 8, 26 | Home | Junior | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 3, 26 | Away | Junior | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 26 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 52 | 21 | +31 | 58 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 24 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.28% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Atletico Nacional to win
This prediction indicates that Atletico Nacional has a 53.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.76 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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