Fortaleza FC vs Deportes Tolima Monday 28th September 2026 02:05 AM football predictions.

Primera A

Sept. 28, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Fortaleza FC Deportes Tolima

Fortaleza FC D D L D L W

Deportes Tolima L W W L D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Deportes Tolima	Fortaleza FC	2 - 0	March 19, 2026
Deportes Tolima	Fortaleza FC	1 - 0	December 8, 2025
Fortaleza FC	Deportes Tolima	0 - 1	November 18, 2025
Deportes Tolima	Fortaleza FC	1 - 1	August 31, 2025
Fortaleza FC	Deportes Tolima	1 - 1	March 15, 2025
Fortaleza FC	Deportes Tolima	1 - 1	July 20, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 11, 26	Away	Jaguares	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Away	Santa Fe	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 2, 26	Home	Once Caldas	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 26, 26	Away	Chico	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 23, 26	Home	Atletico Nacional	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Home	Cucuta	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 12, 26	Away	Santa Fe	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 7, 26	Away	Llaneros	1 - 2	Win
Sep 1, 26	Home	Cucuta	2 - 1	Win
Aug 26, 26	Away	Independiente del Valle	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Bucaramanga	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 19, 26	Home	Independiente del Valle	0 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Deportes Tolima	31	15	8	8	43	30	+13	53
15	Fortaleza FC	28	6	12	10	32	39	-7	30

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.65% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Deportes Tolima has a 39.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.60 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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