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3. Liga
Fortuna Dusseldorf logo Fortuna Dusseldorf
Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
MSV Duisburg logo MSV Duisburg

Match Analysis

Fortuna Dusseldorf MSV Duisburg
Fortuna Dusseldorf W L L L W L
MSV Duisburg L W W D D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
MSV Duisburg Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 - 2 March 11, 2018
Fortuna Dusseldorf MSV Duisburg 3 - 1 October 2, 2017
MSV Duisburg Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 - 1 April 29, 2016
Fortuna Dusseldorf MSV Duisburg 1 - 1 November 20, 2015
Fortuna Dusseldorf MSV Duisburg 2 - 2 May 6, 2012
MSV Duisburg Fortuna Dusseldorf 0 - 2 December 5, 2011

Fortuna Dusseldorf Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Home Stuttgart II 1 - 0 Win
Aug 23, 26 Home SC Freiburg 1 - 5 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Hoffenheim II 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Away Waldhof Mannheim 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Borussia Dortmund 2 - 1 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Lask Linz 2 - 0 Loss

MSV Duisburg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home SV Elversberg 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away Verl 2 - 4 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home SV Meppen 3 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Sparta Rotterdam 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Arminia Bielefeld 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 22, 26 Home Beerschot Wilrijk 2 - 4 Loss

3. Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 MSV Duisburg 2 2 0 0 7 2 +5 6
18 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.06% likelihood that both Fortuna Dusseldorf and MSV Duisburg will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Fortuna Dusseldorf to win
This prediction indicates that Fortuna Dusseldorf has a 43.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.26 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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