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3. Liga

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Verl Fortuna Koln
Verl L L W L L W
Fortuna Koln L W W W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Verl Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Alemannia Aachen 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away RB Leipzig 4 - 0 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home Bremer SV 6 - 1 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away VfL Wolfsburg 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 15, 26 Home Paderborn II 0 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Home TSV 1860 München 3 - 0 Win

Fortuna Koln Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Kickers Offenbach 3 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away VVV Venlo 0 - 1 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Borussia M'gladbach II 1 - 0 Win
Jul 15, 26 Home Eintracht Trier 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away TSV Steinbach 3 - 2 Loss

3. Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
15 Fortuna Koln 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
19 Verl 1 0 0 1 1 4 -3 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.37% likelihood that both Verl and Fortuna Koln will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Verl to win
This prediction indicates that Verl has a 51.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.73 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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