FS Jelgava vs Auda Sunday 09th August 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

FS Jelgava Auda

FS Jelgava L L W W W L

Auda W D L D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Auda	FS Jelgava	1 - 1	June 13, 2026
FS Jelgava	Auda	2 - 3	April 21, 2026
FS Jelgava	Auda	1 - 1	September 27, 2025
Auda	FS Jelgava	2 - 0	July 5, 2025
FS Jelgava	Auda	3 - 1	May 15, 2025
Auda	FS Jelgava	2 - 0	March 30, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 20, 26	Home	Rīgas FS	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Away	Riga	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 29, 26	Home	Grobiņa	2 - 0	Win
Jun 25, 26	Away	Super Nova	1 - 5	Win
Jun 21, 26	Home	Tukums	4 - 1	Win
Jun 17, 26	Home	Ogre United	0 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 23, 26	Away	FCSB	2 - 3	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Rīgas FS	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 29, 26	Home	Riga	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 25, 26	Away	Grobiņa	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Super Nova	0 - 2	Win
Jun 17, 26	Away	Tukums	2 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Auda	22	12	4	6	37	26	+11	40
6	FS Jelgava	22	6	7	9	24	38	-14	25

This prediction indicates that Auda has a 50.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.54 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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