FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils Sunday 31st May 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

FS Jelgava BFC Daugavpils

FS Jelgava D L D D W L

BFC Daugavpils L W L L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
BFC Daugavpils	FS Jelgava	1 - 0	April 16, 2026
FS Jelgava	BFC Daugavpils	0 - 0	October 18, 2025
BFC Daugavpils	FS Jelgava	2 - 0	July 27, 2025
BFC Daugavpils	FS Jelgava	1 - 0	May 25, 2025
FS Jelgava	BFC Daugavpils	4 - 1	April 10, 2025
FS Jelgava	BFC Daugavpils	0 - 0	September 1, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 26, 26	Home	FK Liepaja	1 - 1	Draw
May 21, 26	Away	Rīgas FS	4 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Riga	2 - 2	Draw
May 11, 26	Away	Grobiņa	0 - 0	Draw
May 6, 26	Home	Super Nova	1 - 0	Win
May 1, 26	Away	Tukums	5 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 26, 26	Home	Auda	0 - 1	Loss
May 21, 26	Home	Ogre United	3 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Away	FK Liepaja	2 - 1	Loss
May 13, 26	Home	Rīgas FS	0 - 1	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	Riga	1 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Grobiņa	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	BFC Daugavpils	15	5	2	8	18	23	-5	17
7	FS Jelgava	15	3	5	7	11	29	-18	14

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that FS Jelgava has a 36.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.51 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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