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Virsliga

June 29, 2026 6 hours ago VS

Match Analysis

FS Jelgava Grobiņa
FS Jelgava W W L D D D
Grobiņa D L W L L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Grobiņa FS Jelgava 0 - 0 May 11, 2026
FS Jelgava Grobiņa 0 - 1 March 21, 2026
Grobiņa FS Jelgava 3 - 2 August 29, 2025
FS Jelgava Grobiņa 0 - 1 June 22, 2025
FS Jelgava Grobiņa 1 - 0 April 29, 2025
Grobiņa FS Jelgava 1 - 1 March 6, 2025

FS Jelgava Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 25, 26 Away Super Nova 1 - 5 Win
Jun 21, 26 Home Tukums 4 - 1 Win
Jun 17, 26 Home Ogre United 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Auda 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Home BFC Daugavpils 1 - 1 Draw
May 26, 26 Home FK Liepaja 1 - 1 Draw

Grobiņa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 25, 26 Home Auda 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Away BFC Daugavpils 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 16, 26 Home FK Liepaja 1 - 0 Win
Jun 13, 26 Home Rīgas FS 1 - 3 Loss
May 29, 26 Away Riga 2 - 0 Loss
May 25, 26 Away Ogre United 1 - 1 Draw

Virsliga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 FS Jelgava 20 5 7 8 22 35 -13 22
8 Grobiņa 20 4 7 9 13 30 -17 19

Predictions

Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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