Virsliga
Match Analysis
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
L
W
W
L
L
W
Riga
L
W
D
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Riga | FS Jelgava | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| Riga | FS Jelgava | 2 - 2 | May 16, 2026 |
| FS Jelgava | Riga | 0 - 8 | April 4, 2026 |
| FS Jelgava | Riga | 2 - 3 | September 21, 2025 |
| Riga | FS Jelgava | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2025 |
| Riga | FS Jelgava | 2 - 0 | May 10, 2025 |
FS Jelgava Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Super Nova | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Tukums | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Ogre United | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Auda | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | BFC Daugavpils | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | FK Liepaja | 0 - 2 | Win |
Riga Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | FK Liepaja | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | KI Klaksvik | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Rīgas FS | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | KI Klaksvik | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Gyori ETO FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Ogre United | 4 - 1 | Win |
Virsliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Riga | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 27 | +54 | 65 |
| 6 | FS Jelgava | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 34 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.29% likelihood that both FS Jelgava and Riga will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Riga to win
This prediction indicates that Riga has a 70.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.04 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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