FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 Saturday 29th August 2026 04:30 PM football predictions.

Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

SC Paderborn 07

Match Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 SC Paderborn 07

FSV Mainz 05 W D W W W W

SC Paderborn 07 D W W D D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FSV Mainz 05	SC Paderborn 07	2 - 0	February 29, 2020
SC Paderborn 07	FSV Mainz 05	1 - 2	October 5, 2019
FSV Mainz 05	SC Paderborn 07	5 - 0	January 31, 2015
SC Paderborn 07	FSV Mainz 05	2 - 2	August 24, 2014

FSV Mainz 05 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Home	Paris FC	4 - 0	Win
Aug 1, 26	Away	Udinese	3 - 3	Draw
Jul 31, 26	Home	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	1 - 0	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Holstein Kiel	3 - 0	Win
Jul 17, 26	Home	FC Kaiserslautern	4 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Eisbachtal	0 - 10	Win

SC Paderborn 07 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Away	Werder Bremen	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Away	VfL Osnabruck	0 - 2	Win
Jul 17, 26	Home	Fagiano Okayama	3 - 1	Win
May 25, 26	Home	VfL Wolfsburg	1 - 1	Draw
May 21, 26	Away	VfL Wolfsburg	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	SV Darmstadt 98	0 - 2	Win

Bundesliga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	SC Paderborn 07	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	FSV Mainz 05	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.8% likelihood that both FSV Mainz 05 and SC Paderborn 07 will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FSV Mainz 05 to win

This prediction indicates that FSV Mainz 05 has a 51.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.14 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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