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Iraqi League

Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Ghaz Al Shamal Newroz
Ghaz Al Shamal L W D D L
Newroz W D L L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Ghaz Al Shamal Form (Last 5 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 4, 26 Home Al-Jolan SC 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 30, 26 Away Gharraf 0 - 1 Win
Aug 25, 26 Away Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 20, 26 Home Al Kahrabaa 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Zakho 1 - 0 Loss

Newroz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 4, 26 Away Naft Maysan 0 - 2 Win
Aug 30, 26 Home Duhok 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 26, 26 Away Al Talaba 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Away Gharraf 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Home Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 - 3 Draw
Jun 1, 26 Away Naft 2 - 1 Loss

Iraqi League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 Ghaz Al Shamal 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
18 Newroz 4 0 2 2 3 5 -2 2

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.65% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Ghaz Al Shamal will score 0 goals, and Newroz will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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