Gimnasia M. vs Union Santa Fe Saturday 01st August 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Gimnasia M. Union Santa Fe

Gimnasia M. W L W D D W

Union Santa Fe L L W D D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Union Santa Fe	Gimnasia M.	4 - 0	February 3, 2026
Union Santa Fe	Gimnasia M.	1 - 2	April 18, 2024

Gimnasia M. Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 4, 26	Home	Defensa Y Justicia	2 - 1	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Independ. Rivadavia	5 - 1	Loss
Apr 21, 26	Home	Lanus	1 - 0	Win
Apr 15, 26	Home	Gimnasia Y Tiro	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 12, 26	Away	Platense	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 3, 26	Home	Velez Sarsfield	3 - 2	Win

Union Santa Fe Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 22, 26	Home	Independiente	0 - 2	Loss
May 12, 26	Away	Belgrano Cordoba	2 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Independ. Rivadavia	1 - 2	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Talleres Cordoba	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 27, 26	Away	Velez Sarsfield	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 17, 26	Home	Newells Old Boys	2 - 3	Loss

Liga Profesional Argentina Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
13	Union Santa Fe	18	6	6	6	26	23	+3	24
22	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	14	22	-8	19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.73% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Union Santa Fe to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Union Santa Fe has a 34.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.18 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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