Veikkausliiga
Match Analysis
Gnistan
Ilves
Gnistan
L
W
W
W
L
D
Ilves
L
W
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ilves | Gnistan | 2 - 0 | May 23, 2026 |
| Ilves | Gnistan | 1 - 0 | January 24, 2026 |
| Gnistan | Ilves | 1 - 3 | October 25, 2025 |
| Ilves | Gnistan | 3 - 2 | September 23, 2025 |
| Ilves | Gnistan | 2 - 2 | August 4, 2025 |
| Gnistan | Ilves | 0 - 2 | June 1, 2025 |
Gnistan Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | KuPS | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Inter Turku | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | AC Oulu | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Mariehamn | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Lahti | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | VPS | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Ilves Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | AC Oulu | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Stjarnan | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Lahti | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Stjarnan | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 20, 26 | Away | Turku PS | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | FC Differdange 03 | 3 - 1 | Win |
Veikkausliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Gnistan | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 22 | +5 | 28 |
| 9 | Ilves | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.33% likelihood that both Gnistan and Ilves will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Ilves to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Ilves has a 36.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.73 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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