Veikkausliiga
Match Analysis
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
D
W
W
W
L
W
VPS
W
W
D
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| VPS | Gnistan | 1 - 1 | May 9, 2026 |
| Gnistan | VPS | 0 - 0 | August 15, 2025 |
| VPS | Gnistan | 0 - 0 | June 18, 2025 |
| VPS | Gnistan | 0 - 1 | October 23, 2024 |
| Gnistan | VPS | 3 - 0 | August 4, 2024 |
| VPS | Gnistan | 3 - 2 | April 20, 2024 |
Gnistan Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 26 | Away | FF Jaro | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 17, 26 | Home | Lahti | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Mariehamn | 0 - 3 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Home | SJK | 3 - 2 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Ilves | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | FF Jaro | 5 - 0 | Win |
VPS Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 26 | Home | AC Oulu | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 17, 26 | Away | SJK | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | KuPS | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Turku PS | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 22, 26 | Home | HJK helsinki | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 18, 26 | Away | Lahti | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Veikkausliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | VPS | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 18 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
VPS to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that VPS has a 41.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.92 %Most Likely Scorelines
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