National 1
Match Analysis
Gobelins
Aubagne
Gobelins
W
L
W
D
L
W
Aubagne
L
L
L
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gobelins | Aubagne | 1 - 1 | May 9, 2026 |
| Aubagne | Gobelins | 1 - 1 | January 16, 2026 |
| Aubagne | Gobelins | 1 - 1 | April 11, 2025 |
| Gobelins | Aubagne | 1 - 0 | November 22, 2024 |
Gobelins Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Valenciennes | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Villefranche | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Quevilly | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Creteil | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Orleans | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | Caen | 3 - 4 | Win |
Aubagne Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Caen | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | SC Bastia | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Thionville Lusitanos | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | SC Bastia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Montpellier | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| May 15, 26 | Home | Caen | 3 - 1 | Win |
National 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gobelins | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Aubagne | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.4% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Gobelins to win
This prediction indicates that Gobelins has a 46.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.94 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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