Ekstraklasa
Match Analysis
Gornik Zabrze
Wisla Krakow
Gornik Zabrze
D
W
L
D
W
L
Wisla Krakow
W
L
W
D
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The match features a modest quality edge favoring Gornik Zabrze, but Wisla Krakow arrives with a notable rest advantage and has dominated recent head-to-head encounters, typically tight affairs where goals have been scarce. Despite this, Gornik Zabrze has recently been creating significantly more shooting chances, and both sides are showing moderate recent form. The model predicts a home win with a 43% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply, and also predicts that both teams are likely to score and that there will be more than one or two goals in the game.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gornik Zabrze | Wisla Krakow | 1 - 0 | November 17, 2023 |
| Wisla Krakow | Gornik Zabrze | 4 - 1 | April 10, 2022 |
| Gornik Zabrze | Wisla Krakow | 0 - 1 | October 16, 2021 |
| Wisla Krakow | Gornik Zabrze | 0 - 0 | March 5, 2021 |
| Gornik Zabrze | Wisla Krakow | 0 - 0 | September 25, 2020 |
| Gornik Zabrze | Wisla Krakow | 0 - 1 | June 27, 2020 |
Gornik Zabrze Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Ferencvarosi TC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Radomiak Radom | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | Ferencvarosi TC | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Fenerbahce | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Slask Wroclaw | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Fenerbahce | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Wisla Krakow Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Wisla Plock | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Piast Gliwice | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | GKS Katowice | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Líšeň | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Podbeskidzie | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Wrexham | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Ekstraklasa Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 6 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.97% likelihood that both Gornik Zabrze and Wisla Krakow will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Gornik Zabrze to win
This prediction indicates that Gornik Zabrze has a 43.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.35 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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