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Victoria NPL

July 10, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Green Gully Altona Magic
Green Gully W L L D L L
Altona Magic W L W L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Altona Magic Green Gully 1 - 1 March 28, 2026
Green Gully Altona Magic 2 - 3 June 27, 2025
Altona Magic Green Gully 0 - 0 March 22, 2025
Altona Magic Green Gully 0 - 0 June 15, 2024
Green Gully Altona Magic 2 - 4 March 8, 2024
Green Gully Altona Magic 5 - 2 June 16, 2023

Green Gully Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 28, 26 Away South Melbourne 1 - 2 Win
Jun 20, 26 Away Hume City 3 - 2 Loss
Jun 5, 26 Home Avondale 0 - 2 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Sunshine Georgies 0 - 0 Draw
May 22, 26 Home Heidelberg United 0 - 1 Loss
May 15, 26 Home Melbourne City II 1 - 3 Loss

Altona Magic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 26, 26 Away Bentleigh Greens 0 - 1 Win
Jun 21, 26 Away St. Albans Saints 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Away South Melbourne 2 - 3 Win
May 30, 26 Home Oakleigh Cannons 0 - 2 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Hume City 1 - 3 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Preston Lions 1 - 0 Win

Victoria NPL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Altona Magic 18 5 4 9 21 32 -11 19
14 Green Gully 17 0 4 13 8 38 -30 4

Predictions

Altona Magic to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Altona Magic has a 38.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.83 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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