Victoria NPL
Match Analysis
Green Gully
Avondale
Green Gully
D
L
L
L
L
L
Avondale
W
W
L
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avondale | Green Gully | 5 - 0 | February 28, 2026 |
| Avondale | Green Gully | 2 - 1 | August 23, 2025 |
| Green Gully | Avondale | 5 - 2 | May 9, 2025 |
| Green Gully | Avondale | 1 - 6 | July 27, 2024 |
| Avondale | Green Gully | 0 - 1 | April 27, 2024 |
| Green Gully | Avondale | 0 - 4 | June 23, 2023 |
Green Gully Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Away | Sunshine Georgies | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 22, 26 | Home | Heidelberg United | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 15, 26 | Home | Melbourne City II | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| May 8, 26 | Away | St. Albans Saints | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 1, 26 | Home | Oakleigh Cannons | 0 - 5 | Loss |
| Apr 24, 26 | Home | Preston Lions | 0 - 4 | Loss |
Avondale Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Home | Bentleigh Greens | 4 - 0 | Win |
| May 25, 26 | Away | South Melbourne | 0 - 4 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Hume City | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Altona Magic | 5 - 1 | Win |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Sunshine Georgies | 5 - 2 | Win |
| Apr 24, 26 | Away | Heidelberg United | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Victoria NPL Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Avondale | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 19 | +18 | 28 |
| 14 | Green Gully | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 33 | -27 | 4 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.49% likelihood that both Green Gully and Avondale will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Avondale to win
This prediction indicates that Avondale has a 66.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.77 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 74.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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