Victoria NPL
Match Analysis
Green Gully
Dandenong Thunder
Green Gully
W
L
L
D
L
L
Dandenong Thunder
L
L
L
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dandenong Thunder | Green Gully | 1 - 1 | April 11, 2026 |
| Green Gully | Dandenong Thunder | 3 - 1 | May 16, 2025 |
| Dandenong Thunder | Green Gully | 2 - 0 | February 8, 2025 |
| Dandenong Thunder | Green Gully | 1 - 1 | June 29, 2024 |
| Green Gully | Dandenong Thunder | 1 - 1 | March 22, 2024 |
| Dandenong Thunder | Green Gully | 1 - 0 | July 29, 2023 |
Green Gully Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 26 | Away | South Melbourne | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 20, 26 | Away | Hume City | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 5, 26 | Home | Avondale | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Sunshine Georgies | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 22, 26 | Home | Heidelberg United | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 15, 26 | Home | Melbourne City II | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Dandenong Thunder Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Hume City | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 20, 26 | Away | Avondale | 11 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Sunshine Georgies | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| May 29, 26 | Away | Heidelberg United | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Melbourne City II | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | St. Albans Saints | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Victoria NPL Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Dandenong Thunder | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 12 |
| 14 | Green Gully | 17 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 38 | -30 | 4 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.22% likelihood that both Green Gully and Dandenong Thunder will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Dandenong Thunder to win
This prediction indicates that Dandenong Thunder has a 43.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.41 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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