Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils Saturday 29th August 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Virsliga

Grobiņa

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

BFC Daugavpils

Match Analysis

Grobiņa BFC Daugavpils

Grobiņa L L D L W L

BFC Daugavpils W W L W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
BFC Daugavpils	Grobiņa	1 - 0	June 20, 2026
Grobiņa	BFC Daugavpils	1 - 1	May 2, 2026
BFC Daugavpils	Grobiņa	0 - 1	March 7, 2026
BFC Daugavpils	Grobiņa	3 - 2	September 15, 2025
BFC Daugavpils	Grobiņa	3 - 2	June 26, 2025
Grobiņa	BFC Daugavpils	1 - 0	May 4, 2025

Grobiņa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 10, 26	Away	Rīgas FS	6 - 1	Loss
Aug 2, 26	Away	Riga	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 27, 26	Home	Ogre United	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 20, 26	Away	Super Nova	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Home	Tukums	3 - 1	Win
Jun 29, 26	Away	FS Jelgava	2 - 0	Loss

BFC Daugavpils Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Home	Tukums	2 - 0	Win
Aug 1, 26	Home	FS Jelgava	2 - 1	Win
Jul 26, 26	Away	Auda	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Away	Ogre United	0 - 4	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	FK Liepaja	3 - 1	Win
Jun 30, 26	Away	Rīgas FS	3 - 1	Loss

Virsliga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	BFC Daugavpils	26	10	6	10	33	31	+2	36
8	Grobiņa	25	4	9	12	17	41	-24	21

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.73% likelihood that both Grobiņa and BFC Daugavpils will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

BFC Daugavpils to win

This prediction indicates that BFC Daugavpils has a 51.1% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.67 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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