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Virsliga

July 5, 2026 5 days, 14 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Grobiņa Tukums
Grobiņa D L W L L D
Tukums L L W D L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Grobiņa Tukums 3 - 3 May 15, 2026
Tukums Grobiņa 1 - 1 April 5, 2026
Grobiņa Tukums 1 - 0 October 4, 2025
Tukums Grobiņa 2 - 1 July 21, 2025
Grobiņa Tukums 2 - 0 May 21, 2025
Tukums Grobiņa 2 - 0 April 5, 2025

Grobiņa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 25, 26 Home Auda 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Away BFC Daugavpils 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 16, 26 Home FK Liepaja 1 - 0 Win
Jun 13, 26 Home Rīgas FS 1 - 3 Loss
May 29, 26 Away Riga 2 - 0 Loss
May 25, 26 Away Ogre United 1 - 1 Draw

Tukums Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 26, 26 Away Ogre United 3 - 2 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Away FS Jelgava 4 - 1 Loss
Jun 17, 26 Home Auda 2 - 1 Win
Jun 12, 26 Home BFC Daugavpils 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Away FK Liepaja 3 - 0 Loss
May 25, 26 Away Rīgas FS 3 - 1 Loss

Virsliga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Grobiņa 20 4 7 9 13 30 -17 19
9 Tukums 19 3 8 8 33 36 -3 17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.95% likelihood that both Grobiņa and Tukums will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Tukums to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Tukums has a 35.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.99 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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