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Liga Pro

May 31, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
2 – 4
Full Time

Match Analysis

Guayaquil City FC Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC D L L L W W
Independiente del Valle W L W W W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Independiente del Valle Guayaquil City FC 2 - 0 February 22, 2026
Guayaquil City FC Independiente del Valle 0 - 2 October 22, 2023
Independiente del Valle Guayaquil City FC 4 - 0 May 14, 2023
Independiente del Valle Guayaquil City FC 2 - 0 February 4, 2023
Guayaquil City FC Independiente del Valle 0 - 1 August 23, 2022
Independiente del Valle Guayaquil City FC 0 - 0 April 10, 2022

Guayaquil City FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Away Mushuc Runa SC 2 - 2 Draw
May 19, 26 Home Orense SC 0 - 1 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Deportivo Cuenca 0 - 1 Loss
May 2, 26 Away LDU de Quito 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Home Tecnico Universitario 1 - 0 Win
Apr 21, 26 Away Libertad 0 - 1 Win

Independiente del Valle Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 27, 26 Home Rosario Central 1 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Home Libertad 2 - 3 Loss
May 20, 26 Home Libertad Asuncion 4 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Away Macara 0 - 3 Win
May 10, 26 Home Barcelona SC 1 - 0 Win
May 6, 26 Away UCV 2 - 0 Loss

Liga Pro Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 15 11 1 3 28 16 +12 34
9 Guayaquil City FC 15 5 4 6 12 15 -3 19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.23% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Independiente del Valle to win
This prediction indicates that Independiente del Valle has a 52.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.59 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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