K League 1
Match Analysis
Gwangju FC
Incheon United
Gwangju FC
D
L
L
D
D
L
Incheon United
D
D
W
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Incheon United | Gwangju FC | 4 - 0 | May 16, 2026 |
| Gwangju FC | Incheon United | 3 - 2 | March 7, 2026 |
| Incheon United | Gwangju FC | 1 - 0 | October 27, 2024 |
| Gwangju FC | Incheon United | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2024 |
| Incheon United | Gwangju FC | 1 - 1 | May 25, 2024 |
| Gwangju FC | Incheon United | 2 - 3 | April 3, 2024 |
Gwangju FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Bucheon FC 1995 | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Daejeon Citizen | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Jeju United FC | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | FC Anyang | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Pohang Steelers | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Incheon United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Jeju United FC | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Bucheon FC 1995 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Jeonbuk Motors | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | FC Anyang | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | FC Seoul | 1 - 0 | Loss |
K League 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Incheon United | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 24 | +4 | 29 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 21 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 47 | -36 | 10 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.38% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Incheon United to win
This prediction indicates that Incheon United has a 48.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.96 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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