Ykkösliiga
Match Analysis
Haka
MP
Haka
W
W
W
W
W
D
MP
L
L
L
W
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| MP | Haka | 2 - 1 | July 5, 2026 |
| MP | Haka | 1 - 0 | May 2, 2026 |
| Haka | MP | 2 - 0 | October 1, 2015 |
| MP | Haka | 3 - 4 | August 2, 2015 |
| Haka | MP | 1 - 0 | June 4, 2015 |
Haka Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | SJK Akatemia | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | JäPS | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | JIPPO | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | PK-35 | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | KäPa | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Klubi-04 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
MP Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Klubi-04 | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | EIF | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | JäPS | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | KäPa | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Kooteepee | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | JIPPO | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Ykkösliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Haka | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 20 | +20 | 40 |
| 7 | MP | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.92% likelihood that both Haka and MP will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Haka to win
This prediction indicates that Haka has a 64.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.19 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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