Bundesliga
Match Analysis
Hamburger SV
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
W
D
L
W
L
D
FSV Mainz 05
W
W
D
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | Hamburger SV | 1 - 1 | February 20, 2026 |
| Hamburger SV | FSV Mainz 05 | 4 - 0 | October 5, 2025 |
| Hamburger SV | FSV Mainz 05 | 0 - 0 | March 3, 2018 |
| FSV Mainz 05 | Hamburger SV | 3 - 2 | October 14, 2017 |
| Hamburger SV | FSV Mainz 05 | 0 - 0 | May 7, 2017 |
| FSV Mainz 05 | Hamburger SV | 3 - 1 | December 17, 2016 |
Hamburger SV Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Toulouse | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Lille | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Everton | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | FC Heidenheim | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Rapid Vienna | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 - 1 | Draw |
FSV Mainz 05 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Bournemouth | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Paris FC | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Udinese | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Holstein Kiel | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | FC Kaiserslautern | 4 - 1 | Win |
Bundesliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | FSV Mainz 05 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Hamburger SV | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.79% likelihood that both Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05 will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Hamburger SV or FSV Mainz 05 to win
This prediction indicates that FSV Mainz 05 has a 40.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.87 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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