Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic Saturday 08th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Hamilton Academical Alloa Athletic

Hamilton Academical L D W W D D

Alloa Athletic D D L L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Hamilton Academical	Alloa Athletic	1 - 0	April 11, 2026
Alloa Athletic	Hamilton Academical	3 - 0	February 21, 2026
Hamilton Academical	Alloa Athletic	1 - 0	December 20, 2025
Alloa Athletic	Hamilton Academical	1 - 0	August 23, 2025
Hamilton Academical	Alloa Athletic	3 - 2	May 11, 2024
Alloa Athletic	Hamilton Academical	2 - 2	May 7, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Away	Kilmarnock	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Raith Rovers	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Peterhead	0 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Haverfordwest County AFC	0 - 4	Win
Jun 30, 26	Away	Linlithgow Rose	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Away	Raith Rovers	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Home	Falkirk	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	Stranraer	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 14, 26	Away	Edinburgh City	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 30, 26	Home	Livingston	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 23, 26	Home	Civil Service Strollers	5 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Stenhousemuir	0 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Alloa Athletic	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Hamilton Academical	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Hamilton Academical has a 51.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.33 %

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