Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Azor Wednesday 30th September 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Liga Alef

Sept. 30, 2026 1 week from now VS

Hapoel Sderot Hapoel Azor

Hapoel Sderot W L W

Hapoel Azor L W L W D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 17, 26	Away	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	0 - 1	Win
Sep 9, 26	Home	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 3, 26	Away	Tzeirey Tira	1 - 4	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 18, 26	Away	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 9, 26	Home	Tzeirey Tira	2 - 0	Win
Sep 3, 26	Away	Maccabi Yavne	3 - 0	Loss
Feb 26, 26	Home	Nordia Jerusalem	2 - 1	Win
Feb 12, 26	Home	Hapoel Herzliya	0 - 0	Draw
Feb 6, 26	Away	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Hapoel Sderot	3	2	0	1	6	3	+3	6
22	Hapoel Azor	3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3

This prediction indicates that Hapoel Sderot has a 59.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.95 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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