Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Wednesday 30th September 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Liga Alef

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

Sept. 30, 2026 1 week from now VS

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm

Match Analysis

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel W L L D L D

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm L D D L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1 - 1	January 16, 2026
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	0 - 5	October 24, 2025

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 18, 26	Away	Tzeirey Tamra	1 - 4	Win
Sep 9, 26	Away	Hapoel Nazareth Illit	1 - 0	Loss
Feb 19, 26	Home	Hapoel Beit Shean	0 - 1	Loss
Feb 13, 26	Away	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	1 - 1	Draw
Feb 6, 26	Home	Tzeirey Tamra	0 - 2	Loss
Jan 30, 26	Away	Ironi Nesher	1 - 1	Draw

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 18, 26	Away	Ironi Nesher	5 - 1	Loss
Sep 10, 26	Home	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Away	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	0 - 0	Draw
Feb 27, 26	Home	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	1 - 2	Loss
Feb 20, 26	Away	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	1 - 2	Win
Feb 13, 26	Home	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	1 - 0	Win

Liga Alef Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
19	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	2	1	0	1	4	2	+2	3
26	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	3	0	2	1	2	6	-4	2

Predictions

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel or Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm to win

This prediction indicates that Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel has a 41.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.71 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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